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XFL Championship Odds + Picks

The Action Network has provided XFL Championship odds and picks for the 2020 season, with odds courtesy of FanDuel.

Read the lines and advice below. To see all of their information and analysis about all eight squads -- including depth charts, coaching tendencies and more -- check out the full report.

EAST

DC Defenders

  • CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS: +500
  • PICK: To Win the XFL Championship +700

When you compare the XFL rosters, the Defenders look like a value at +700 odds. Hamilton is an experienced offensive coach who works well with quarterbacks. If he can get Jones to maximize his talent, the Defenders will be extremely hard to stop. They have talented receivers and running backs and a strong defensive spine. They will need to find a pass rusher, but if they do, they could dominate. -- Ben Rolfe

New York Guardians

  • CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS: +430
  • Pick: Stay Away

In the futures market, the Guardians have some of the shortest odds to win the championship, but their talent almost certainly doesn’t matchup with the money that’s been bet on them.

For Week 1, they have opened as 2.5-point underdogs at home against the Tampa Bay Vipers, who have longer odds to win the championship at a number of sportsbooks. That says it all. -- Rolfe

St. Louis BattleHawks

  • CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS: +1000
  • Pick: Stay Away

If this team is to have any chance at making the playoffs this year, it will be because of the defense, but this is an offense-leaning, pass-friendly league, and the BattleHawks almost certainly won’t have the ability to keep up with opponents, especially since they’re best offensive players are running backs.

The BattleHawks have the longest odds to win the championship of any team, and it’s hard to say they don’t deserve the market’s pessimism. -- Mike Vitanza

Tampa Bay Vipers

  • CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS: +400
  • Pick: +550 To Win the Championship

A couple of weeks ago, Caesars released win totals for the XFL, and although they are no longer on the board, the Vipers had the highest number at 7.5: They clearly have a talented team.

Some books have Tampa Bay among the favorites (Draftkings +450) in the futures market, while others (like BetMGM at +550) list the Vipers in the middle of the pack. If you’re a Trestman truther like me, and you trust that opening win total from Caesars, then there’s some value here. -- Tony Marquis

WEST

Dallas Renegades

  • CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS: +400
  • Pick: Stay Away

Betting the favorite seems to be the worst strategy in a league with nothing to go on. This team has promise, but I’m not betting on it. -- Marquis

Houston Roughnecks

  • CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS: +900
  • Pick: +900 to Win the Championship

While they do play in the West, which is likely to be the tougher division, the Roughnecks have the talent to make a run this season. Caesars released win totals for the XFL a couple of weeks ago, giving the Roughnecks a total of 6.0, which tied them for No. 2 with the Dallas Renegades. But in the futures market, most sportsbooks have the Renegades at +400 odds to win the championship, which suggests that the Roughnecks are discounted.

At these odds, there should also be plenty of room to hedge (if you choose) and lock in a profit if they win a playoff spot. There is simply way too much value here to pass up taking them at +900.

Note: the lines for this bet swing wildly from book to book (anywhere from +600 to +900), so make sure to take it on FanDuel before the lines adjust. -- Vitanza

Los Angeles Wildcats

  • CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS: +650
  • Pick: Stay Away

A couple of weeks ago, Caesars posted a win total of 4.0 for the Wildcats, and at that number, I liked the over. Given their promising offense and talented defense, they seem likely to finish no worse than a mediocre 5-5.
But the win totals have been taken off the board, and I don’t like them enough in the futures market to bite. -- Vitanza

Seattle Dragons

  • CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS: +1200
  • Pick: Stay Away

The futures market accurately represents the team’s talent. Even if Silvers plays well, it is not clear who will be a reliable target for him, and the run game will likely take the Dragons only so far. Defensively, they have some pieces but they lack the upside or the depth of other rosters.

Perhaps they will outperform their talent, but 3-4 wins looks fairly spot on for this roster, and they rightly have the longest odds to win the championship. They offer no value right now, but in the regular season, the Dragons might be an ideal team to bet against, and they also might drive game totals to the under thanks to their run-focused offense. -- Rolfe

Click for The Action Network's full breakdown of the 2020 XFL season's betting and team analysis.